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The Numbers

16 pieces

Portfolio strategy, safe withdrawal rates, tax optimisation.

Interactive tools
CALCULATOR

What's Your Real FI Number?

Built from what you actually spend, not an income multiple — stress-test it against simulated markets or 98 years of real U.S. market history.

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CALCULATOR

How Much Faster Does a Higher Savings Rate Get You There?

See exactly how much faster a higher savings rate gets you to financial independence — and when Coast FI takes over from here.

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SIMULATOR

Same Average Return. Two Very Different Retirements.

Two real historical years, matched to the same average return — watch how the order it arrives in decides whether a portfolio survives.

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Core reading
Core · 1/9ANALYSISthe-numbers

The Lever That Does Double Duty

Marcus Webb
4 min read · Evergreen
Core · 2/9ANALYSISthe-numbers

How to Calculate Your FI Number

Marcus Webb
4 min read · Evergreen
Core · 3/9ANALYSISthe-numbers

The 4% Rule Was Built for Thirty Years and One Country. You Might Need Fifty.

Ray Chen
3 min read · Evergreen
Core · 4/9ANALYSISthe-numbers

The Risk That Doesn't Show Up in the Average

Marcus Webb
3 min read · Evergreen
Core · 5/9ANALYSISthe-numbers

The Withdrawal Rate Isn't Fixed. The Rule Is.

Marcus Webb
4 min read · Evergreen
Core · 6/9ANALYSISthe-numbers

Your Portfolio Needs Two Different Strategies. Plan Wisely.

Marcus Webb
4 min read · Evergreen
Core · 7/9ANALYSISthe-numbers

You're Not Locked Out of Your 401(k) Until 59½. You Just Need a Bridge Built in Advance.

Marcus Webb
4 min read · Evergreen
Core · 8/9ANALYSISthe-numbers

Debt Payoff vs. Investing

Marcus Webb
3 min read · Evergreen
Core · 9/9ANALYSISthe-numbers

The Safe Withdrawal Rate Was Built to Survive the Worst Case. Die With Zero Is a Different Equation Entirely.

Marcus Webb
4 min read · Evergreen
Latest dispatches
ANALYSISthe-numbers

The Forward Return Problem

Ray Chen
3 min read · 18 Jul 2026
ANALYSISthe-numbers

The Dividend Mirage

Ray Chen
3 min read · 18 Jul 2026
ANALYSISthe-numbers

The Irreversibility Problem

Marcus Webb
6 min read · 18 Jul 2026
ANALYSISthe-numbers

The Paper Returns Problem

Marcus Webb
6 min read · 17 Jul 2026